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Palma Real von Kuba

Hurrikan (ciclon)
2017 Namen: Harvey, Irma, Jose, Maria

 

WARNUNGEN


Achtung: Externe Daten in Englisch. HolaCuba übernimmt keine Haftung.

Stand: Sat, 01 Oct 2022 05:28:21 GMT
Quelle: NHC Atlantic
Mehr Info und aktuelle Karten



Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image 
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2022 02:53:29 GMT
  
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities  
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2022 03:22:37 GMT


 
000 
ABNT20 KNHC 010517 
TWOAT  
 
Tropical Weather Outlook 
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 1 2022 
 
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 
 
Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical  
Cyclone Ian, located inland over North Carolina. 
 
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: 
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms  
several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual  
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to  
form during the early to middle part of next week while it moves  
westward and then northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern  
tropical Atlantic.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. 
 
$$ 
Forecaster Berg 

  ...HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODING, AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE AS IAN MOVES INLAND OVER NORTH CAROLINA...
 As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 30
 the center of Ian was located near 35.3, -79.5
 with movement N at 15 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 994 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
 
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022  

000
WTNT34 KNHC 010251
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
 
...HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODING, AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE AS IAN MOVES
INLAND OVER NORTH CAROLINA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 79.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSE OF GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
All Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watches and Warnings have been
discontinued.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian 
was located near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 79.5 West. The 
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 
km/h). This general motion with a decrease in forward speed is 
expected through Saturday as Ian moves farther inland across central 
North Carolina and Virginia.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with 
higher gusts. These winds are occurring over water off the Carolina 
coast.  Ian is forecast to weaken through Saturday and dissipate by 
early Sunday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches) 
based on surface observations.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
 
STORM SURGE: Surge related flooding will continue to recede along
portions of the North Carolina coast, including the Pamlico Sound
and Neuse River as well as the Albemarle Sound. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather forecast office.
 
WIND:  Wind gusts to tropical storm force are expected to continue
over portions of North Carolina and South Carolina overnight as Ian
moves farther inland.
 
RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches, with local
maxima of 8 inches across portions of North Carolina, West Virginia,
and the southern Mid-Atlantic states.
 
Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida
through next week.  Considerable flash, urban and small stream
flooding is possible across portions of North Carolina and southern
Virginia tonight into early Saturday, with minor river flooding
possible over Coastal Carolinas. Limited flooding is possible across
portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend.
 
TORNADOES:  A brief tornado remains possible through early Saturday
morning across far southeast Virginia and the southern Delmarva
Peninsula.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Ian and a nearby frontal system are
affecting the east coast of Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, and the
northwestern Bahamas. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
 
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022  

000
WTNT24 KNHC 010250
TCMAT4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM AND STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  79.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 170SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  79.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  79.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.6N  79.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N  79.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N  79.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022  

000
WTNT44 KNHC 010252
TCDAT4
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Discussion Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
 
Ian has a classic comma-shaped cloud pattern of an extratropical 
cyclone in satellite imagery. The radar structure of the system has 
degraded tonight, but surface observations indicate the center of 
Ian is moving northward across the central portion of North 
Carolina. The initial intensity is lowered to 45 kt for this 
advisory, which is consistent with the latest Decay-SHIPS guidance 
and some marine observations offshore of the Cape Fear region that 
indicate sustained tropical-storm-force winds are still occurring 
over water.
 
Ian is still moving northward at about 13 kt. This general motion is 
expected to continue through Saturday, which will bring Ian across 
the central portions of North Carolina and Virginia on Saturday. 
Continued weakening is forecast, and the cyclone is expected to 
dissipate by early Sunday. There were no notable changes made to the 
NHC track or intensity forecast.

Because recent observations indicate that wind speeds over land have 
diminished, the Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the 
coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. Similarly, coastal 
water levels have receded below warning criteria along the coast of 
North Carolina, and the Storm Surge Watches and Warnings there have 
also been discontinued. However, heavy rain and gusty winds are 
expected to continue into tomorrow morning across portions of the 
Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states.

Even though all tropical watches and warnings have been 
discontinued, intermediate advisories will still be issued as long 
as Ian continues to produce winds of tropical storm strength.

 
Key Messages:
 
1. Gusty winds are expected through early Saturday over portions of 
South Carolina and North Carolina.
 
2. Ongoing major to record river flooding will continue through next 
week across portions of central Florida. Considerable flooding is 
possible across portions of the Carolinas and southeast Virginia.  
Locally considerable flooding is possible across portions of 
northwest North Carolina and southern Virginia tonight into early 
Saturday.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/0300Z 35.3N  79.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  01/1200Z 36.6N  79.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  02/0000Z 38.0N  79.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
 
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022                                              

000
FONT14 KNHC 010251
PWSAT4
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092022               
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CHARLOTTESVIL  34  2   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DANVILLE VA    34 23   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART                                                 
Issued at  814 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
Issued at  1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
Issued at  1102 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
Issued at  1104 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
Issued at  1129 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022
Issued at  1131 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022


regen hurrikan
So kann es aussehen:
die ersten Tropfen sind schon da

Hurrikane sind tropische Wirbelstürme. Gefahren entstehen durch Windgeschwindigkeiten, Wellen und schwere Niederschläge. In Kuba wird Hurrican 'ciclon' genannt. Saizon ist Mai bis November. Kuba ist für Hurrikane besser als die USA oder andere Länder der Karibik vorbereitet, obwohl erhebliche Sachschäden werden der Insel nicht erspart.




Sind Sie da? Gerade etwas passiert?

Berichten Sie es auf HolaCuba:



foto hurrikan kuba

Rechts: typisches Bild eines Hurrikanes

Danke für das Foto, Andrew
(war unser Gast in Varadero)




Wir werden oft gefragt: Und wie verhält man sich als Tourist, wenn man dort von einem Hurrikan überrascht wird?

Es gelten zwei Regeln:
1. Zu Hause bleiben.
2. Den Auforderungen der Zivilschutzes folgen.

Alle unsere Casas sind solide gebaut, keine ist aus Holz.




Hurrikanschäden

hurrikan schäden
Nach dem ciclon:
Baumaterialien werden gefragt

Offiziel als Hurrikan zählt das Unwetter ab 118 Km/Stunde. Aber schon ab 50 Km hört der Spass auf

Aus der Schweiz könen Sie Ihre Hilfe für die Opfer direkt an Cuba-Si Schweiz leisten.

Mehr über Hurrikan in Wikipedia

(Diese Seite wird im web als 'hurrican cuba' aber auch als 'hurrikan kuba' gesucht und gefunden.)


Wichtigere Tropische Wirbelstürme / Hurrikan-Namen im 2016: Matthew

Im 2012: Isaac

Im 2011: Bret Irene Katia Ophelia

Im 2010: Agatha Earl

Im 2009: Ana, Hurrikan Bill, Claudette, Danny, Fred, Ida

Ob Hurrikan oder nicht: reisen Sie nicht allein!

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