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Date:
Sun, 01 Oct 2023 08:46:56 GMT Quelle: NHC Atlantic Mehr Info und aktuelle Karten
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Oct 2023 02:47:09 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Oct 2023 03:23:04 GMT
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Oct 2023 08:36:35 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Oct 2023 08:36:35 GMT
000
ABNT20 KNHC 010507
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the
northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rina, located over
the central subtropical Atlantic.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
...PHILIPPE MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... ...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PHILIPPE...
As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Oct 1
the center of Philippe was located near 16.4, -58.2
with movement W at 7 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 999 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
000
WTNT32 KNHC 010846
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023
500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
...PHILIPPE MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF PHILIPPE...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 58.2W
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM ESE OF BARBUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of this system. Tropical storm watches or warnings may
be required for a portion of that area later today.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 58.2 West. Philippe is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A west-northwestward
to northwestward motion is expected to begin today and continue
into tonight. A turn toward the northwest with an increase in
forward speed is expected Sunday and Monday, followed by a northward
motion on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe
is forecast to pass near or just northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands on Monday and Monday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected during the next day or
so. Some strengthening is possible by late Monday as Philippe
begins to move north of the Leeward Islands.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
primarily to the east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Philippe can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Philippe is forecast to produce 1 to 4 inches of rain
across portions of the Leeward Islands by Monday into Tuesday. This
rainfall may result in isolated flash flooding.
WIND: Gusty winds are possible in portions of the northern
leeward islands by Monday.
SURF: Swells generated by Philippe will affect portions of the
Atlantic coasts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
000
WTNT22 KNHC 010846
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 58.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 130SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 135SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 58.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 57.5W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 58.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N 59.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 60.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.2N 61.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 61.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N 62.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 25.5N 61.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.9N 59.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 58.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 30 2023
000
WTNT42 KNHC 010245
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Philippe Discussion Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 30 2023
Philippe's convective cloud pattern remains rather ragged-looking,
but there are very cold cloud tops of -80 deg C or colder over the
southeastern part of the circulation. The center of circulation is
estimated to be near the northwestern edge of the main area of deep
convection. There is little evidence of banding features at this
time. The current intensity estimate is kept at 45 kt in agreement
with the latest Dvorak classification from TAFB although objective
satellite estimates are somewhat lower. A recent scatterometer
pass showed slightly higher winds over the southeastern quadrant
but these are believed to be rain-inflated. Another Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Philippe tomorrow
morning to check on the intensity of the storm.
The motion is somewhat uncertain since the center is not easy to
locate in nighttime satellite imagery. However it appears that
Philippe is moving more to the right and the initial motion
estimate is now 230/4 kt. Steering currents are expected to remain
ill-defined for the next day or two, but a weak mid-level high to
the northeast of the system should cause Philippe to turn
northwestward on Sunday. In about 3 days, a turn to the north is
expected as the cyclone moves along the western side of the high.
Late in the forecast period, the system should turn toward the
north-northeast on the southeast side of a mid-tropospheric trough
over the western Atlantic. The latest track guidance for the next
48 hours or so, in particular the new GFS, has shifted westward
from the previous cycle. This has resulted in a westward shift of
the model consensus and necessitated a westward shift in the NHC
track as well, which is now closer to the northern Leeward Islands.
It should be noted that the model guidance continues to show very
little outward extent of tropical-storm-force winds over the
western semicircle of Philippe through 48 hours, and this forecast
still does not necessitate the issuance of tropical storm watches
for those islands. However, interests there should continue to
monitor the progress of Philippe.
Based on the global model forecasts, the system is likely to
continue experiencing significant vertical wind shear for the next
day or two. Therefore only a slow increase in intensity is
forecast during the next couple of days. Later in the forecast
period, vertical shear is expected to lessen somewhat which should
allow the system to strengthen into a hurricane, as suggested by
the regional hurricane model, HAFS-A. However, the official
intensity forecast is now above most of the model guidance.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 01/0300Z 16.1N 57.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 16.5N 57.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 17.1N 58.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 02/1200Z 17.8N 59.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 03/0000Z 18.6N 60.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 03/1200Z 19.6N 61.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 04/0000Z 21.1N 61.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 05/0000Z 24.8N 61.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 06/0000Z 28.5N 59.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
000
FONT12 KNHC 010846
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAINT JOHN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15)
SABA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
BARBUDA 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 10(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
...RINA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Oct 1
the center of Rina was located near 24.3, -53.7
with movement NW at 14 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
000
WTNT33 KNHC 010834
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rina Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182023
500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
...RINA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 53.7W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was
located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 53.7 West. Rina is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north and then
north-northeast is expected tonight and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the day or so. Rina is expected
to become a remnant low later today or tonight, and dissipate by
early Tuesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
000
WTNT23 KNHC 010834
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 53.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 53.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 53.3W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N 55.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 27.7N 55.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.4N 54.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 53.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
000
WTNT43 KNHC 010835
TCDAT3
Tropical Storm Rina Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182023
500 AM AST Sun Oct 01 2023
Strong northwesterly shear continues to take a toll on Rina. The
cyclone has been producing an area of deep convection overnight,
but it is disorganized and located well southeast of the exposed
center. Any convection that has occurred near the center during
the past 12-18 hours has been very short-lived. Given the tight
circulation that is noted in infrared satellite imagery, the
initial wind speed is held at a possibly generous 35 kt for this
advisory. Scatterometer data later this morning should help to
determine if Rina is still producing tropical-storm-force winds.
Environmental conditions consisting of moderate to strong vertical
wind shear and dry mid-level air should cause gradual weakening
during the next day or two. Rina is forecast to become a remnant
low later today or tonight, and the global models indicate that the
circulation will open up into a trough of low pressure and
dissipate within a couple of days.
Rina is moving northwestward at about 12 kt. The cyclone is
expected to turn northward later today as it is steered between a
low- to mid-level ridge to its northeast and a mid-tropospheric
trough over the western Atlantic. The latest NHC track forecast is
near the center of the guidance envelope, which is slightly east of
the previous advisory.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 01/0900Z 24.3N 53.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 25.6N 55.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 02/0600Z 27.7N 55.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 02/1800Z 30.4N 54.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brown
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
000
FONT13 KNHC 010835
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM RINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
That's how it starts: the first raindrops are already there
Hurricanes are tropical cyclones. Danger arises through very high wind speeds,
waves and heavy rainfalls. In Cuba a common word for a hurricane is 'ciclon'. Season is
from May through November. Traditionally, through its well organized system of civil protection Cuba
is better prepared for hurricanes then the USA or other countries of the Caribbean. Cuba suffers less
loss of human life. Is is not safe from substantial material damages though.
Are you there? Something happens?
Report it on HolaCuba right here:
Right: typical photo of a hurricane
Thank you for the picture, Andrew (was our guest in
Varadero)
We are frequently asked: How are we supposed to behave as a tourist
when we get surprised on the island?
Two simple rules:
1. Stay home.
2. Follow the orders of the Civil Protection authorities.
All our Casas have a solid construction base, none is made of wood.
Hurricane damages
After the ciclon: Construction materials are paramount
Oficially a hurricane starts when wind speed exceeds 118 Km/hour. But even at 50 Km persons are adviced to seek protection.
Aus der Schweiz könen Sie Ihre Hilfe für die Opfer direkt an
Cuba-Si Schweiz
leisten.
More about hurricanes in Wikipedia
(This page is searched for and found in the web
as 'hurrican cuba' but also as 'hurricane kuba'.)
Historic Tropical Storms / Hurricane names in 2011: Bret Irene Ophelia Katia
In 2010: Agatha Earl
In 2009: Ana, Hurricane Bill, Claudette, Danny, Fred, Ida
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